Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.012607 0.014265 0.015947 0.017774 0.019698 0.021657 0.023798
2025-04-20 0.009643 0.012217 0.014960 0.018066 0.021456 0.025017 0.029017
2025-04-27 0.007340 0.010377 0.013762 0.017732 0.022188 0.026977 0.032458
2025-05-04 0.005567 0.008830 0.012636 0.017244 0.022542 0.028344 0.035084
2025-05-11 0.004539 0.008004 0.012206 0.017426 0.023543 0.030331 0.038304
2025-05-18 0.003564 0.007098 0.011572 0.017278 0.024085 0.031739 0.040815
2025-05-25 0.002638 0.006112 0.010737 0.016806 0.024183 0.032583 0.042641
2025-06-01 0.001954 0.005349 0.010108 0.016522 0.024450 0.033580 0.044600
2025-06-08 0.001373 0.004622 0.009454 0.016152 0.024570 0.034369 0.046289
2025-06-15 0.001010 0.004171 0.009130 0.016167 0.025129 0.035650 0.048524
2025-06-22 0.000630 0.003569 0.008533 0.015784 0.025168 0.036292 0.049996
2025-06-29 0.000295 0.002880 0.007727 0.015072 0.024758 0.036370 0.050786
2025-07-06 0.000048 0.002094 0.006712 0.014088 0.024066 0.036204 0.051420
2025-07-13 0.000005 0.001878 0.006626 0.014417 0.025083 0.038149 0.054597
2025-07-20 NaN 0.001473 0.006135 0.014127 0.025276 0.039072 0.056555
2025-07-27 NaN 0.001082 0.005578 0.013691 0.025245 0.039698 0.058138
2025-08-03 NaN 0.000911 0.005430 0.013854 0.025999 0.041286 0.060866
2025-08-10 NaN 0.000690 0.005109 0.013721 0.026336 0.042341 0.062942
2025-08-17 NaN 0.000448 0.004631 0.013300 0.026256 0.042856 0.064349
2025-08-24 NaN 0.000284 0.004277 0.013047 0.026388 0.043624 0.066051
2025-08-31 NaN 0.000150 0.003897 0.012717 0.026392 0.044216 0.067528
2025-09-07 NaN 0.000087 0.003726 0.012730 0.026871 0.045410 0.069735
2025-09-14 NaN 0.000022 0.003373 0.012390 0.026828 0.045919 0.071091